{"id":16497,"date":"2022-12-02T19:00:52","date_gmt":"2022-12-02T16:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/?p=16497"},"modified":"2022-12-02T01:26:19","modified_gmt":"2022-12-01T22:26:19","slug":"oecd-ulkelerinde-faiz-artislari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/oecd-ulkelerinde-faiz-artislari\/","title":{"rendered":"OECD \u00dclkelerinde faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Ekonomik Kalk\u0131nma ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc<\/strong>\u00a0 \u00a0(<em>Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development<\/em>: <em>OECD)<\/em>\u00a0 uluslararas\u0131 bir\u00a0ekonomi\u00a0kurulu\u015fudur. 14 Aral\u0131k 1960 tarihinde imzalanan\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tr.wikipedia.org\/w\/index.php?title=Paris_S%C3%B6zle%C5%9Fmesi&amp;action=edit&amp;redlink=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Paris S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi<\/a>&#8216;ne dayan\u0131larak 1961&#8217;de kurulmu\u015ftur. Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Marshall_Plan%C4%B1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Marshall Plan<\/strong>\u0131<\/a>\u00a0 kapsam\u0131nda yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla 1948 y\u0131l\u0131nda kurulan <strong>Avrupa Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc&#8217;<\/strong>n\u00fcn (OEEC) \u00a0devam\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-16498 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"412\" height=\"232\" srcset=\"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/2.png 243w, https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/2-150x85.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 412px) 100vw, 412px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00dcyelerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck\u00a0 b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc\u00a0<strong>Avrupa Birli\u011fi<\/strong>\u00a0 \u00fclkeleridir. Sanayile\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmekte olan 38 \u00fclkeden olu\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Ama\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00a0aras\u0131nda; halk\u0131n hayat standard\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirilmek, s\u00fcrekli ve dengeli ekonomik geli\u015fim sa\u011flayan politikalara destek vermek, \u00a0i\u015fsizli\u011fi ortadan kald\u0131rmak, \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda ayr\u0131m g\u00f6zetmeyen d\u00fcnya ticaretinin geli\u015ftirilmesine destek vermek vard\u0131r. \u00dcye \u00fclkelerin 3 temel ilkesi; <strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>demokrasi<\/strong><strong>ye, \u00a0<\/strong><strong>insan haklar\u0131na<\/strong><strong>\u00a0ve yurtta\u015f \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131kt\u0131r<\/strong>. \u00a0Yugoslavya, da\u011f\u0131lmadan \u00f6nce \u00a0\u00f6rg\u00fct faaliyetlerine \u00f6zel bir stat\u00fcde i\u015ftirak etmekte idi. 1992 y\u0131l\u0131nda da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla \u00f6rg\u00fct ile ili\u015fkisi sona ermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00dcye \u00fclkelerden 30&#8217;u, \u00a0D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 (IBRD) \u00a0taraf\u0131ndan 2005 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00a0y\u00fcksek gelirli \u00fclkeler \u00a0olarak belirlenmi\u015ftir. \u00dcyelik s\u00fcre\u00e7leri devam eden \u00fclkeler; Arjantin, Brezilya, Bulgaristan, H\u0131rvartistan Peru ve \u00a0Romanya\u2019d\u0131r. Malta (2007) ve Ukrayna (2022) \u00a0\u00a0ba\u015fvuran \u00fclkelerdir. B\u00fct\u00e7eye en fazla katk\u0131 sa\u011flayan \u00fclke y\u00fczde 20.5 ile ABD\u2019dir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin katk\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.2\u2019dir.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16500 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"174\" height=\"239\" srcset=\"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/5.png 174w, https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/5-109x150.png 109w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 174px) 100vw, 174px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>May\u0131s 2007&#8217;de OECD, Rusya ile kat\u0131l\u0131m m\u00fczakerelerini ba\u015flatma karar\u0131 \u00a0alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ama Mart 2014&#8217;te Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n\u00a0 <strong>K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131 ilhak etmesine<\/strong> ve de \u00a0sivil hak ihlallerine cevap olarak\u00a0 \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakereleri durdurulmu\u015f, 25 \u015eubat 2022&#8217;de Ukrayna&#8217;y\u0131 i\u015fgal etmesinden sonra Rusya ile kat\u0131l\u0131m s\u00fcreci sonland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1985-1990<\/strong> d\u00f6neminde DPT temsilcisi olarak OECD\u2019nin 4 Komitesi ve \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Grubu\u2019nda\u00a0 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi temsil ettim. Bu d\u00f6nemde\u00a0 <em>\u201c<strong>Regional Problems and Policies in Turkey<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u201d <\/strong>ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00a0kitap,\u00a0 katk\u0131lar\u0131m ile OECD yay\u0131n\u0131 olarak bas\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>OECD\u2019nin Kas\u0131m 2022 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm yay\u0131n\u0131na (<strong>OECD Economic Outlook<\/strong>) g\u00f6re \u00a0k\u00fcresel ekonomi, 1970&#8217;lerden bu yana ya\u015fanan en b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji kriziyle sars\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu durum enflasyonu onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor ve t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Economic Outlook\u2019a g\u00f6re d\u00fcnyada ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,2&#8217;ye d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ediliyor. Asya, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ekonomik \u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ana motoru olacak. 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda Avrupa, Kuzey Amerika ve G\u00fcney Amerika\u2019da\u00a0\u00a0 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00a0ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. K\u00fcresel ekonomide \u00a0daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fclecek.<\/p>\n<p>Pandemi ve tedarik zinciri k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131, enflasyonu y\u00fckselterek \u00e7ok daha yayg\u0131n h\u00e2le getirmi\u015ftir. Fiyatlardaki beklenmedik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n bir sonucu olarak, bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede reel \u00fccretler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc azal\u0131yor. Enflasyon kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmazsa, bu sorunlar \u00a0daha da \u00a0artacakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle \u00fclkelerin enflasyonla m\u00fccadelesi\u00a0 en \u00f6nemli politika \u00f6nceli\u011fi olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>D\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131ndaki merkez bankalar\u0131, enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almak ve enflasyonu \u00e7\u0131palamak i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r<\/strong><strong>maktad\u0131r. <\/strong>Bu strateji meyvelerini vermeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Brezilya&#8217;da \u00a0son aylarda enflasyonda gerileme g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. ABD\u2019de son veriler de enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede bir miktar ilerlemeye i\u015faret ediyor. \u00a0Enflasyonun y\u00fcksek ve tabanda yayg\u0131n oldu\u011fu \u00fclkelerde s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131 uygulanmal\u0131d\u0131r. <strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>Artan fiyatlar ile m\u00fccadelede maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n, para politikas\u0131 ara\u00e7lar\u0131 ile \u00a0birlikte \u00a0uygulanmas\u0131 \u00a0gerekir. <strong>\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0Bu durum, aileleri ve firmalar\u0131 enerji \u015fokundan korumaya y\u00f6nelik politika deste\u011finin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00a0zorunlu k\u0131lar. H\u00fck\u00fcmetler ekonomiyi rahatlatmak i\u00e7in \u015fimdiden \u00e7ok \u015fey yapt\u0131lar. \u00a0Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bir s\u00fcre daha y\u00fcksek ve dalgal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 muhtemel oldu\u011fundan, fiyatlar genel seviyesini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutmaya y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nlemler\u00a0 kar\u015f\u0131lanamaz hale gelecektir.<\/p>\n<p>OECD Ba\u015f Ekonomisti <strong>\u00c1lvaro Santos Pereira<\/strong>\u2019ya g\u00f6re \u00e7ok zor bir ekonomik tabloyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. \u00a0Senaryomuz k\u00fcresel bir durgunluk de\u011fil ama 2023&#8217;te d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde \u00f6nemli bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, d\u00fc\u015fmekle birlikte\u00a0 y\u00fcksek enflasyon s\u00f6z konusudur. Bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede enflasyonist riskler \u00f6nemli olmaya devam ediyor. Bu zor zamanlarda \u00a0\u00a0<strong>para politikas\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemlidir<\/strong>. Bunun i\u00e7in \u00a0\u00a0maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n da deste\u011fi\u00a0 gerekir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu kapsamda \u00a0temiz enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n ve teknolojilerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi, enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmesi ve enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011finin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 \u00a0\u00f6nemlidir. Yap\u0131sal politikalara yeniden odaklan\u0131lmal\u0131, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 istihdam ve \u00fcretkenli\u011fin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi sa\u011flama konusunda \u00e7aba harcamal\u0131d\u0131r.\u00a0 E\u011fer do\u011fru politikalar\u0131 benimsemeyi se\u00e7ersek, kesinlikle ba\u015far\u0131 \u015fans\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 artar.<\/p>\n<p>OECD\u2019nin\u00a0 2022 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne g\u00f6re\u00a0 \u00a0T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin GSY\u0130H b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, 2022&#8217;deki y\u00fczde 5,3&#8217;ten gerileyerek \u00a0tahmin d\u00f6nemi boyunca yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 3 \u00a0olacakt\u0131r. <strong>Enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fecek fakat \u00a0y\u00fczde 40&#8217;\u0131n \u00fczerinde \u00a0olacakt\u0131r.<\/strong> Bu durum hane halk\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken artan belirsizlik devam edecektir. <strong>D\u0131\u015f talep zay\u0131flad\u0131k\u00e7a ihracat azalacak, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 tahmini 2023&#8217;te y\u00fczde 10&#8217;un \u00fczerinde \u00a0olacakt\u0131r.<\/strong> B\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck rezervler ekonomiyi darbelere kar\u015f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a savunmas\u0131z b\u0131rakmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Merkez Bankas\u0131, politika faizini art\u0131rmal\u0131 ve ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir politika i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenilir ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck bir program haz\u0131rlamal\u0131d\u0131r. <\/strong>G\u00fcveni desteklemek ve enflasyon beklentilerini k\u0131rmak i\u00e7in resmi enflasyon hedefini tutturmak gerekir. Hane halk\u0131n\u0131 artan enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan korumaya y\u00f6nelik tedbirler olumludur ama\u00a0 bunlar ge\u00e7ici \u00a0de\u011fil, hedef odakl\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun i\u00e7in maliyetleri y\u00f6netilebilir tutmak gerekir. \u0130stihdam maliyetlerini azaltmak ve daha esnek i\u015f s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerini te\u015fvik etmek kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde i\u015f yaratmay\u0131 art\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcd\u00fcr ama \u00a0\u00a0g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 artmaktad\u0131r. Reel GSY\u0130H, 2022&#8217;nin ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 7,5 oran\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131ndan biri olmu\u015ftur. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketimdeki\u00a0 canl\u0131l\u0131k, emek piyasas\u0131n\u0131n olumlu geli\u015fmelerinden kaynaklanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar f\u0131rsatlardan yararlanmay\u0131 \u00a0bilmi\u015flerdir.<\/p>\n<p>Asya tedarik zincirlerindeki aksamalar giderilmi\u015f, turizm 2022&#8217;de canlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda beklenen art\u0131\u015f olmam\u0131\u015f,\u00a0 makroekonomik dengesizlikler artm\u0131\u015f, \u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131k geni\u015flemi\u015f, artan enerji ithalat\u0131 \u00a0sebebiyle \u00a0t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyonu y\u00fczde 85,5, \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyonu \u00a0Ekim 2022&#8217;de\u00a0 y\u00fczde 158 olmu\u015ftur. \u00a0Asgari \u00fccret, \u00a0y\u00fczde 50&#8217;lik zamdan alt\u0131 ay sonra, Temmuz&#8217;da \u00a0y\u00fczde 30 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. TL\u2019nin \u00a0de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ithal fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Elektrik kullan\u0131m\u0131\u00a0 ekonomik aktivitenin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmet, savunmas\u0131z gruplar\u0131n artan enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndan korumak i\u00e7in \u00f6nlemler alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n en alt diliminde yer alan haneler, b\u00fct\u00e7elerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00a0<strong>y\u00fczde 70&#8217;ini g\u0131da ve konut giderlerine ay\u0131rmaktad\u0131r<\/strong>. \u00a0Enerji yard\u0131m\u0131 alan hane say\u0131s\u0131 ikiye katlanarak 4 milyona ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00a0gelirli hane halklar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00a0vergiler \u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.\u00a0 <strong>T\u00fcrkiye do\u011falgaz\u0131n\u0131n \u00a0y\u00fczde 99&#8217;unu, petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00a0y\u00fczde 93&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fc ithal etmektedir.<\/strong> Bu durum enerji arz\u0131 kesintilerine ve fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u00fcrkiye\u00a0 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck politika faiz oranlar\u0131na sahip tek OECD \u00fclkesidir.<\/strong> \u00a0\u00a0Politika faizinin projeksiyon d\u00f6nemi boyunca mevcut seviyesinde kalmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.\u00a0 Nisan ay\u0131ndan bu yana, zorunlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 10&#8217;dan y\u00fczde 30&#8217;a y\u00fckseltilmi\u015ftir. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak kredi faiz oranlar\u0131 da \u00a0artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Teminatlar kredilerin t\u00fcr\u00fcne g\u00f6re farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterdi\u011finden olduk\u00e7a de\u011fi\u015fkenlik g\u00f6stermektedir. Ticari kredi faiz oranlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 18 civar\u0131nda olup, ihracat\u00e7\u0131 firmalar i\u00e7in daha\u00a0 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. \u00a0\u0130htiya\u00e7 kredisi faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00a0y\u00fczde 30&#8217;un \u00fczerindedir. Bu \u00f6nlemlere ra\u011fmen, t\u00fcm kredi t\u00fcrleri i\u00e7in bor\u00e7 verme oranlar\u0131 ayn\u0131 kalmaktad\u0131r. Maliye politikas\u0131, enerji t\u00fcketicileri ve\u00a0 devlet destekli sosyal konut projeleri i\u00e7in destekleyici olmaya devam edecektir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>GSY\u0130H b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, 2022&#8217;deki \u00a0y\u00fczde 5,3&#8217;ten\u00a0 y\u00fczde 3\u2019e gerileyecektir. \u00a0\u00a0Enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fecek ancak \u00a0y\u00fczde 40&#8217;\u0131n \u00fczerinde \u00a0olacakt\u0131r. \u00a0Bu durum hane halk\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken artan belirsizlik devam edecektir. D\u0131\u015f talep zay\u0131flad\u0131k\u00e7a ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yava\u015flayacakt\u0131r. B\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f finansman ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck rezervler sebebiyle ekonomi darbelere kar\u015f\u0131\u00a0 savunmas\u0131zd\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizini art\u0131rmal\u0131<\/strong> ve ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir politika i\u00e7in\u00a0 ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck rehberlik sa\u011flamal\u0131d\u0131r. Hane halk\u0131n\u0131 artan enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan korumaya y\u00f6nelik tedbirler memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131lanmakla birlikte\u00a0 ge\u00e7ici ve hedef odakl\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00a0Finansal maliyetleri y\u00f6netilebilir tutmak, istihdam maliyetlerini azaltmak ve daha esnek i\u015f s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerini te\u015fvik etmek \u00a0kamu \u00a0sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde i\u015f yaratmay\u0131 art\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcd\u00fcr ama \u00a0g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 artmaktad\u0131r. Reel GSY\u0130H, 2022&#8217;nin ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda (y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda) y\u00fczde 7,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131ndan biri olmu\u015ftur. \u00a0\u00a0\u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar f\u0131rsatlardan yararlanmay\u0131 ba\u015farm\u0131\u015f, Asya tedarik zincirlerindeki aksamalar ve turizm 2022&#8217;de\u00a0 d\u00fczelmi\u015ftir. \u00a0Ancak\u00a0 makroekonomik dengesizlikler artm\u0131\u015f, cari a\u00e7\u0131k geni\u015flemi\u015f, \u00a0artan enerji ithalat\u0131 nedeniyle t\u00fcketici \u00a0ve \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 \u00a0y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi gelelim \u00a0ekonomi bilmecesine. Ekonomi bir bilim olup \u00a0her bilim gibi objektif \u00a0ve \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc\u015f\u00fclebilir kurallar\u0131 vard\u0131r. Bu kurallar\u0131 yok sayarsak e\u011fer, bilimden uzakla\u015f\u0131r\u0131z. Mevcut ve denenmi\u015f kuraklar\u0131 e\u011fer tersinden okursak e\u011fer, hi\u00e7 istenmeyen sonu\u00e7larla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmam\u0131z ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olur. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131ndaki merkez bankalar\u0131 enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almak ve enflasyonu \u00e7\u0131palamak i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken biz aksini yaparsak, 2023\u2019te 2022\u2019den daha iyi bir ekonomik \u00a0ortam \u00a0ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmam\u0131z m\u00fclk\u00fcn olmayacakt\u0131r. Bunun sonucunu hep birlikte g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pandemi ve tedarik zinciri k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131, enflasyonu y\u00fckselterek \u00e7ok daha yayg\u0131n h\u00e2le getirmi\u015ftir. Fiyatlardaki beklenmedik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n bir sonucu olarak, bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede reel \u00fccretler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc azal\u0131yor. Enflasyon kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmazsa, bu sorunlar \u00a0daha da \u00a0artacakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle \u00fclkelerin enflasyonla m\u00fccadelesi\u00a0 en \u00f6nemli politika \u00f6nceli\u011fi olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":16506,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[349,1529,1019,583,348],"coauthors":[6],"class_list":["post-16497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-faiz","tag-maliye","tag-oecd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16497","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16497"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16497\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16509,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16497\/revisions\/16509"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16506"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16497"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16497"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16497"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/millidusunce.com\/misak\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=16497"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}