1991 y\u0131l\u0131nda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin y\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra, bu \u00fclkeye kar\u015f\u0131 kurulmu\u015f olan NATO\u2019nun, varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcp s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeyece\u011fiyle ilgili soru i\u015faretleri olsa da, bu uluslararas\u0131 asker\u00ee birlik varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. NATO, bu d\u00f6nemde Sovyetlerden kalan Rusya Federasyonu\u2019na kar\u015f\u0131 eylemlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f ve Rusya\u2019y\u0131 \u00e7evreleyecek \u015fekilde ad\u0131mlar atm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.
\n\u015e\u00fcphesiz NATO\u2019nun g\u00f6ze batan en \u00f6nemli te\u015febb\u00fcs\u00fc Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 bu birli\u011fe dahil etmekti.
\nNATO\u2019nun, Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 bu asker\u00ee birli\u011fe dahil etmek i\u00e7in att\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk resm\u00ee ad\u0131m Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00fczerinden 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda at\u0131ld\u0131. Ukrayna Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Viktor Yanukovi\u00e7 d\u00f6neminde, AB Ukrayna\u2019yla ticareti \u00f6nceleyen bir i\u015f birli\u011fi anla\u015fmas\u0131 yapmay\u0131 teklif etti. S\u00f6z konusu teklif Yanukovi\u00e7 y\u00f6netimi taraf\u0131ndan 21 Kas\u0131m 2013\u2019te reddedildi. Anla\u015fman\u0131n reddedilmesi Ukrayna\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fck tepki g\u00f6sterilerine neden oldu. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Ukrayna halk\u0131 bu anla\u015fmayla beraber \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fcklerin ve ekonomik refah seviyesinin artaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir kan\u0131ya sahipti.<\/p>\n
Yanukovi\u00e7 y\u00f6netimi g\u00f6sterileri bast\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6stericilerin say\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131. Y\u00fcz binlerce insan soka\u011fa d\u00f6k\u00fcld\u00fc. G\u00f6steriler zaman i\u00e7erisinde kolluk kuvvetleriyle halk aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu durum 20 \u015eubat 2014\u2019e kadar devam etti. S\u00fcrecin sonucunda 23 \u015eubat 2014\u2019te Yanukovi\u00e7, parlamento taraf\u0131ndan azledildi ve h\u00fck\u00fcmeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Ukrayna sokaklar\u0131na, Yanukovi\u00e7 ve Rusya aleyhtar\u0131 sloganlar hakimdi. Yanukovi\u00e7 bu d\u00f6nemde Rusya\u2019ya s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131. Rusya aleyhtar\u0131 sloganlar\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131, Ukrayna i\u00e7inde bulunan Rus n\u00fcfusu da rahats\u0131z etti. G\u00f6steriler bir s\u00fcre sonra etnik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve \u00e7eki\u015fmeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00d6zellikle K\u0131r\u0131m ve Donbas\u2019ta bulunan Ruslar Ukrayna\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 ayakland\u0131. Bu ayaklanmalar\u0131n sonucunda Rusya, olaylara ilk olarak K\u0131r\u0131m \u00fczerinden giri\u015f yapt\u0131. Rus k\u00f6kenli vatanda\u015flar K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019da Ukrayna\u2019ya ait b\u00fct\u00fcn devlet binalar\u0131na sald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Rusya,<\/p>\n
K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019da ya\u015fanan otorite bo\u015flu\u011funu f\u0131rsat bilerek ve T\u00fcrk n\u00fcfusu da g\u00f6z ard\u0131 ederek T\u00fcrk vatan\u0131 K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131 ilhak etti.
\nBu geli\u015fmelerden sonra Rus n\u00fcfusun bulundu\u011fu di\u011fer b\u00f6lgeler olan Donetsk ve Lugansk\u2019ta(Donbas) da devlet binalar\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irildi. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle bu b\u00f6lgelerde 26 Haziran 2014\u2019te Lugansk ve Donetsk Birle\u015fik Halk Cumhuriyeti kuruldu. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu faaliyetleri Ukrayna-Rusya krizini uluslararas\u0131 bir sorun h\u00e2line getirdi. Bat\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin kay\u0131ts\u0131z \u015farts\u0131z Ukrayna taraf\u0131nda olmas\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n NATO taraf\u0131ndan \u00e7evrelenme endi\u015fesini artt\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n, bug\u00fcne kadar hen\u00fcz ula\u015famad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ama hedef olarak belirledi\u011fi, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n Odesa ve Kharkiv \u015fehirlerini de ilhak etme plan\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
Bu olaylardan sonra Ukrayna\u2019da Bat\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131 politika izleyen partiler \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu durum o d\u00f6nemde Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n muhalif gruplara deste\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131 Ortado\u011fu\u2019da hamleler yapmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Rusya, 30 Eyl\u00fcl 2015 tarihinde \u00f6nce Suriye\u2019ye giri\u015f yapt\u0131. Suriye\u2019nin \u00f6nemli liman kentleri olan Tartus ve Lazkiye\u2019ye yak\u0131n yerlere \u00fcsler kurdu. E\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak da Suriye topraklar\u0131nda Suriye Rejimine kar\u015f\u0131 olan, \u00f6zellikle selefi gruplara kar\u015f\u0131, Suriye Ordusu\u2019na hava deste\u011fi sa\u011flad\u0131. Rusya bu hamlesiyle Suriye\u2019deki dengelerin tam da merkezinde olmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131.<\/p>\n
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ink\u00e2r etti\u011fi ama Rusya\u2019n\u0131n m\u00fcdahalesi oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde i\u015faretlerin oldu\u011fu di\u011fer hamlesi ise Filistin\u2019de oldu.<\/p>\n
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren, HAMAS (\u0130slami Direni\u015f Hareketi)\u2019\u0131n silahl\u0131 kanad\u0131 olan Kassam Tugaylar\u0131\u2019yla ili\u015fki kurdu\u011fu ve g\u00fcnden g\u00fcne bu ili\u015fkiyi geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi iddia edilmektedir.<\/p>\n
Kassam Tugaylar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 7 Ekim 2023 tarihinde \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131dan siyasi kanad\u0131n haberinin olmamas\u0131 yabanc\u0131 bir elin HAMAS\u2019taki karar mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 b\u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, silahl\u0131 kanad\u0131n ise y\u00f6nlendirildi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yorumlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te Kassam Tugaylar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n elindeki silahlar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n Rus yap\u0131m\u0131 olmas\u0131, sald\u0131r\u0131 sonras\u0131 Suriye Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Be\u015far Esad\u2019a ve \u0130ran\u2019a te\u015fekk\u00fcr etmesi, ilk etapta, operasyonu \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden oldu. Kassam Tugaylar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bu te\u015fekk\u00fcr\u00fcnden sonra, \u0130ran ve L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki uzant\u0131s\u0131 Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n \u201cHaberimiz yoktu.\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ise olay\u0131n arkas\u0131nda kimin oldu\u011fuyla ilgili net bir cevab\u0131n olmamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
L\u00fcbnan Hizbullah\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bu olay\u0131 bilmedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ve a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n akabinde de haz\u0131rl\u0131ks\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi, HAMAS\u2019a d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan dokunan elin Rusya oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ihtimali g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. \u0130lerleyen tarihlerde Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f diplomatik a\u00e7\u0131dan Ruslar\u0131n lehine evrilmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Ukrayna\u2019dan al\u0131nan Donbas b\u00f6lgesini Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n Rus topra\u011f\u0131 olarak kabul etmesine do\u011fru giden s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flamas\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Filistin\u2019deki organizat\u00f6rlerden biri oldu\u011fu ve de bas\u0131n yoluyla olay\u0131n vitrinine Kud\u00fcs davas\u0131 propagandas\u0131 yapan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 koyarak (\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n olaylarda dahli olmasa bile bu iddiay\u0131 reddedemezdi.) Ukrayna\u2019da istediklerine kar\u015f\u0131 yeni bir pazarl\u0131k unsuru olu\u015fturdu\u011fu kan\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ok olas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu senaryoda Rusya, ABD\u2019nin hassas noktas\u0131 ve Rusya ile ABD\u2019nin ortak dostu olarak kabul edilen \u0130srail\u2019i, b\u00f6lgede daha zor duruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilmekle tehdit etmi\u015f olabilir. HAMAS sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ilk g\u00fcnlerinde \u0130srail\u2019in bekledi\u011fi bir sald\u0131r\u0131 olarak olu\u015fturulan alg\u0131 da do\u011frudur. Ama \u0130srail\u2019e s\u00f6z konusu sald\u0131r\u0131da esas s\u00fcrpriz olan konu, sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n boyutu ve kusursuz organizasyonudur. \u0130srail bu sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 f\u0131rsat bilerek Gazze Liman\u0131nda h\u00e2kimiyet sa\u011flamak isteyecekti. Fakat HAMAS\u2019a verilen profesyonel deste\u011fin kesilmemesi h\u00e2linde \u0130srail\u2019in bunu yapabilmesi pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Gazze\u2019de, \u0130srail\u2019in Liman hakimiyeti, \u00c7in\u2019in s\u00f6z konusu Liman \u00fczerinden Ku\u015fak-Yol projesi dahilindeki planlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde de ABD i\u00e7in hayati \u00f6neme sahiptir.<\/p>\n
Filistin olay\u0131yla Rusya\u2019n\u0131n, \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n L\u00fcbnan ve Suriye\u2019deki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve etkisini pazarl\u0131k konusu h\u00e2line getirebilece\u011fini g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Ama 13 Nisan\u2019\u0131 14 Nisan\u2019a (2024) ba\u011flayan gece, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u0130srail\u2019e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u201c\u0130ran\u2019a ABD\u2019nin sald\u0131rmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131nday\u0131z.\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yla, \u0130ran i\u00e7lerine yap\u0131lacak herhangi bir sald\u0131r\u0131da da \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yani Rusya\u2019n\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle son d\u00f6nemlerde, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 \u0130ran s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde \u201cdost\u201d olarak kabul etti\u011fini anlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Bu iddiam\u0131z\u0131 \u0130srail\u2019in onlarca kez Suriye\u2019de \u0130ran noktalar\u0131n\u0131 vurmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Rusya\u2019n\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a hava savunma deste\u011fi sa\u011flamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatarak da destekleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n
Ayn\u0131 durumda da ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in Ukrayna\u2019da yo\u011fun destek verdi\u011fi Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Zelenski\u2019yi bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te feda etti\u011fini s\u00f6ylememiz yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r. ABD\u2019nin Ukrayna\u2019ya 61.5 Milyar Dolar fon aktarmas\u0131 bu gidi\u015fat\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yorumlara neden olsa da bu senaryonun sonunda s\u00f6z konusu para sadece Ukrayna y\u00f6netiminin elinde kalan b\u00f6lgeler i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Bir sonraki \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm sahas\u0131 ise Suriye olacakt\u0131r. Bu yaz\u0131 serisi mevcut dengelerin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve anla\u015fma b\u00f6lgelerini anlataca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015fekilde devam edecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Son d\u00f6nemde \u0130ran ve \u0130srail\u2019in birbirlerine sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131, 3. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011finin konu\u015fuldu\u011fu bug\u00fcnlerde, olaylar\u0131n bug\u00fcne nas\u0131l geldi\u011fini ve b\u00f6lgemizdeki sorunlar\u0131 tetikleyen \u201cKaradeniz\u201d dengesini a\u00e7\u0131klamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131m.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":200,"featured_media":17991,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[2827,410,1816,2735,630,409,2828,164,2218],"yoast_head":"\n